Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 96.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 83.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Stepan
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Stepan
Pahlsson
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Stepan
Pahlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
4
Stepan
Pahlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
51.8% (934)
-13.2%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
57.9% (19)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
52.4% (332)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pahlsson
Home
39.0% (364)
56.5% (628)
Away
38.0% (355)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Stepan
Pahlsson
P1
39.4%
55.9%
P2
40.6%
49.4%
P3
36.4%
50.8%
OT
12.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |