Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Weiss 53.6% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 85.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Stepan
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Stepan
Weiss
Last 9: Stepan 1-8 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
3
Stepan
Weiss
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
2
Stepan
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
3
Stepan
Weiss
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
53.3% (942)
-14.7%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
56.1% (212)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
55.9% (93)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Weiss is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Stepan
Weiss
Home
39.0% (364)
55.1% (680)
Away
38.0% (355)
52.4% (599)
By Period
Stepan
Weiss
P1
39.4%
53.1%
P2
40.6%
57.4%
P3
36.4%
51.1%
OT
12.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |