Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Wingels 44.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wingels 53.1%
Defensive zone
Wingels 56.1%
Neutral zone
Wingels 58.0%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Stepan
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Wingels
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Wingels
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
3
Stepan
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
1
Stepan
Wingels
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
44.2% (871)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
43.2% (74)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.3% (109)
+2.9%
On power play, Stepan has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Wingels is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Stepan
Wingels
Home
47.6% (6,608)
44.4% (462)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Stepan
Wingels
P1
47.5%
45.1%
P2
45.6%
40.9%
P3
46.8%
46.0%
OT
40.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |