Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Wingels 47.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 67.4%
Defensive zone
Wingels 61.1%
Neutral zone
Wingels 58.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Stepan
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
Wingels
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Wingels
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
2
Stepan
Wingels
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
1
Stepan
Wingels
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
46.6% (388)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
53.8% (13)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
42.6% (54)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Wingels is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Stepan
Wingels
Home
48.2% (761)
46.6% (191)
Away
47.3% (789)
46.2% (264)
By Period
Stepan
Wingels
P1
46.3%
49.0%
P2
50.4%
41.8%
P3
46.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |