Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Smith 48.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Stepan
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Smith
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Stepan
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.0% (769)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
63.6% (22)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.4% (118)
+1.8%
On power play, Smith has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Stepan
Smith
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.4% (490)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Stepan
Smith
P1
47.5%
46.9%
P2
45.6%
51.2%
P3
46.8%
47.7%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |