Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Brouwer leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 54.7%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 53.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Stepan
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Stepan
Brouwer
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
2
3
Stepan
Brouwer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
4
6
Stepan
Brouwer
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Brouwer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.3% (702)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.7% (551)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
46.6% (412)
-2.4%
On power play, Brouwer has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brouwer
Home
47.6% (6,608)
53.5% (854)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Stepan
Brouwer
P1
47.5%
51.4%
P2
45.6%
49.3%
P3
46.8%
51.2%
OT
40.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |