Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 64.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Stepan
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stepan
Brouwer
Last 7: Stepan 2-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Stepan
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
56.1% (171)
-12.6%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
60.0% (170)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
53.0% (100)
-10.0%
On even strength, Brouwer has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Brouwer is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brouwer
Home
45.6% (629)
61.8% (225)
Away
42.5% (603)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Stepan
Brouwer
P1
44.7%
57.8%
P2
43.7%
49.0%
P3
43.9%
65.2%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |