Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 93.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 87.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Stepan
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
23
(34 meetings)
11
23
Stepan
Fiddler
Last 10: Stepan 0-10 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
1
Stepan
Fiddler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
17
Stepan
Fiddler
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
5
Stepan
Fiddler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
53.7% (4,899)
-7.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.0% (154)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
46.9% (1,479)
-2.7%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fiddler
Home
47.6% (6,608)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Stepan
Fiddler
P1
47.5%
52.1%
P2
45.6%
52.6%
P3
46.8%
52.0%
OT
40.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |