Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Brassard 48.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 80.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Henrique
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Brassard
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Henrique
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Henrique
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
48.5% (1,162)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
49.7% (181)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
51.5% (33)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Henrique
Brassard
Home
53.9% (245)
51.7% (689)
Away
50.4% (274)
45.9% (687)
By Period
Henrique
Brassard
P1
52.8%
48.1%
P2
56.5%
51.8%
P3
46.1%
45.9%
OT
58.3%
52.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |