Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Killorn wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.6% vs Brassard 48.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 54.8%
Defensive zone
Killorn 72.1%
Neutral zone
Killorn 58.2%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Killorn
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Killorn
Brassard
Last 5: Killorn 1-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
2
Killorn
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Killorn
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Killorn
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
46.2% (798)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.1% (173)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Killorn is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Killorn shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Killorn
Brassard
Home
44.0% (75)
47.5% (459)
Away
42.3% (97)
48.5% (518)
By Period
Killorn
Brassard
P1
47.8%
48.0%
P2
46.3%
50.1%
P3
35.7%
44.9%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
43.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |