Alexander True vs Derick Brassard
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). True wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Brassard 52.1% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
True 66.8%
Defensive zone
True 63.3%
Neutral zone
True 67.4%
Result
Alexander True favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
True
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
True
Brassard
Last 5: True 1-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
3
True
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: True
1
0
True
Brassard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
True
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (44)
53.3% (368)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
40.0% (5)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. True is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (37).
True shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
True
Brassard
Home
38.7% (31)
52.6% (247)
Away
35.3% (17)
52.7% (188)
By Period
True
Brassard
P1
46.7%
52.5%
P2
33.3%
56.6%
P3
33.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
37.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Alexander True |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |