Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Brassard 48.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 58.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 66.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 61.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Shaw
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Brassard
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Shaw
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
48.5% (392)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
51.2% (43)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
27.3% (11)
-7.3%
On power play, Brassard has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Brassard is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Shaw
Brassard
Home
45.5% (224)
49.7% (193)
Away
42.5% (233)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Shaw
Brassard
P1
39.1%
46.9%
P2
41.7%
52.1%
P3
50.3%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |