Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.6%). Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Brassard 47.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
O'Reilly
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
O'Reilly
Brassard
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
1
O'Reilly
Brassard
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
O'Reilly
Brassard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
45.2% (739)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
54.6% (130)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On power play, Brassard has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Brassard
Home
48.1% (243)
47.9% (447)
Away
44.9% (254)
45.4% (441)
By Period
O'Reilly
Brassard
P1
43.2%
48.7%
P2
45.6%
44.3%
P3
50.9%
47.2%
OT
42.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |