Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Brassard 48.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 55.6%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 56.1%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hodgson
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hodgson
Brassard
Last 5: Hodgson 1-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
3
Hodgson
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
48.5% (392)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
51.2% (43)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
27.3% (11)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Brassard is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Brassard
Home
49.5% (382)
49.7% (193)
Away
44.4% (430)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Hodgson
Brassard
P1
48.5%
46.9%
P2
48.9%
52.1%
P3
42.5%
46.5%
OT
53.3%
14.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |