Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Brassard 48.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 73.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 72.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 71.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Backes
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backes
Brassard
Last 5: Backes 1-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
2
Backes
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Backes
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
48.5% (392)
+5.9%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
51.2% (43)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
27.3% (11)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Brassard is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Backes
Brassard
Home
50.8% (447)
49.7% (193)
Away
53.8% (465)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Backes
Brassard
P1
51.8%
46.9%
P2
53.2%
52.1%
P3
52.8%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
14.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |