Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Brassard 49.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 56.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 53.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Backes
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backes
Brassard
Last 7: Backes 4-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Backes
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
49.0% (936)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
48.1% (104)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
66.7% (9)
-39.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Backes shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Backes
Brassard
Home
53.8% (160)
50.5% (543)
Away
47.6% (82)
47.7% (507)
By Period
Backes
Brassard
P1
53.8%
48.8%
P2
58.0%
49.0%
P3
41.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | David Backes |