Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Malkin 43.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 88.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 81.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 75.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Brassard
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Brassard
Malkin
Last 6: Brassard 5-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
43.1% (733)
+5.4%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
31.3% (16)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
16.7% (6)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Brassard
Malkin
Home
51.7% (689)
42.6% (338)
Away
45.9% (687)
42.7% (417)
By Period
Brassard
Malkin
P1
48.1%
40.9%
P2
51.8%
45.3%
P3
45.9%
42.0%
OT
52.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |