Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.2%). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Nielsen 45.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 53.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Brassard
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Nielsen
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Brassard
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Brassard
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
45.6% (906)
-0.5%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
62.2% (45)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
39.6% (192)
+10.4%
On power play, Nielsen has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nielsen
Home
45.4% (284)
45.6% (581)
Away
44.7% (333)
44.9% (575)
By Period
Brassard
Nielsen
P1
51.2%
47.0%
P2
40.3%
44.0%
P3
43.2%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |