Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Roslovic 48.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 69.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 63.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 64.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Brassard
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Roslovic
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
4
Brassard
Roslovic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
46.7% (135)
+8.7%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
54.5% (11)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Roslovic is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Brassard
Roslovic
Home
52.3% (174)
42.2% (64)
Away
57.9% (183)
51.2% (84)
By Period
Brassard
Roslovic
P1
47.1%
54.0%
P2
60.6%
44.2%
P3
57.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |