Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Stoll 54.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 79.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 80.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 81.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Brassard
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Stoll
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Brassard
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Brassard
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
56.2% (853)
-11.1%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
53.3% (135)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
51.5% (200)
-1.5%
On even strength, Stoll has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Brassard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Brassard shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Brassard
Stoll
Home
45.4% (284)
60.0% (620)
Away
44.7% (333)
49.7% (584)
By Period
Brassard
Stoll
P1
51.2%
55.4%
P2
40.3%
54.6%
P3
43.2%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |