Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Jokinen 52.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 56.2%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 79.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 65.5%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Brassard
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Jokinen
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
52.1% (267)
-5.9%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
69.2% (26)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On power play, Jokinen has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Brassard shoots left. Jokinen is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Brassard
Jokinen
Home
47.5% (459)
60.0% (175)
Away
48.5% (518)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Brassard
Jokinen
P1
48.0%
49.4%
P2
50.1%
56.6%
P3
44.9%
54.3%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |