Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Brodziak 51.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 89.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 54.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 61.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Brassard
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Brassard
Brodziak
Last 5: Brassard 0-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
4
Brassard
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Brassard
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
53.1% (808)
-4.1%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
50.0% (10)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
47.0% (149)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Brassard shoots left. Brodziak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Brassard
Brodziak
Home
50.5% (543)
56.6% (477)
Away
47.7% (507)
47.8% (490)
By Period
Brassard
Brodziak
P1
48.8%
54.1%
P2
49.0%
55.5%
P3
49.6%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |