Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Komarov 47.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Komarov leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.3%
Defensive zone
Komarov 71.5%
Neutral zone
Komarov 61.3%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Brassard
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Brassard
Komarov
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
2
Brassard
Komarov
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
4
Brassard
Komarov
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
3
Brassard
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
48.6% (695)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
37.5% (16)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
45.6% (417)
+4.7%
On power play, Brassard has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Brassard
Komarov
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.2% (537)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Brassard
Komarov
P1
49.0%
47.6%
P2
49.8%
47.3%
P3
48.4%
47.5%
OT
51.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |