Scouting Report
Leo Komarov holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Komarov 51.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 85.8%
Defensive zone
Komarov 53.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 58.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Brassard
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Komarov
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Komarov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Brassard
Komarov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
2
Brassard
Komarov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
48.1% (79)
+0.9%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
100.0% (1)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
55.3% (132)
+11.4%
On power play, Komarov has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Brassard is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Brassard shoots left. Komarov is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Brassard
Komarov
Home
50.5% (543)
57.1% (105)
Away
47.7% (507)
48.6% (107)
By Period
Brassard
Komarov
P1
48.8%
54.4%
P2
49.0%
52.3%
P3
49.6%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
64.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |