Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Shaw 46.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 76.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 53.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 57.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Brassard
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Brassard
Shaw
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Shaw
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Shaw
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
3
Brassard
Shaw
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
46.5% (157)
+2.5%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
66.7% (3)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
39.5% (43)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Brassard shoots left. Shaw is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Brassard
Shaw
Home
50.5% (543)
44.8% (96)
Away
47.7% (507)
45.8% (107)
By Period
Brassard
Shaw
P1
48.8%
46.3%
P2
49.0%
45.6%
P3
49.6%
43.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |