Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Kruger 55.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 94.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 82.4%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Brassard
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Kruger
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
Brassard
Kruger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
57.8% (597)
-11.6%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
66.7% (12)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.8% (164)
-1.8%
On even strength, Kruger has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Brassard shoots left. Kruger is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kruger
Home
47.5% (459)
58.6% (408)
Away
48.5% (518)
54.5% (365)
By Period
Brassard
Kruger
P1
48.0%
54.3%
P2
50.1%
56.9%
P3
44.9%
58.3%
OT
57.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |