Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Cullen 53.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 69.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 65.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 63.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Brassard
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Cullen
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Brassard
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Brassard
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
56.0% (915)
-10.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
43.1% (116)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
43.6% (133)
+6.4%
On even strength, Cullen has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Brassard
Cullen
Home
45.4% (284)
56.9% (559)
Away
44.7% (333)
49.9% (619)
By Period
Brassard
Cullen
P1
51.2%
56.6%
P2
40.3%
51.6%
P3
43.2%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |