Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 78.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 68.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Brassard
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
19
(29 meetings)
10
19
Brassard
Stajan
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
6
0
Brassard
Stajan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
10
Brassard
Stajan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
9
Brassard
Stajan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
50.2% (4,944)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
43.2% (176)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
46.1% (864)
+4.2%
On power play, Brassard has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Brassard
Stajan
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Brassard
Stajan
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
49.8%
48.5%
P3
48.4%
49.4%
OT
51.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |