Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.1%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Stajan 50.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 76.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 68.1%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Brassard
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brassard
Stajan
Last 7: Brassard 2-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Brassard
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Brassard
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
50.9% (627)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
40.0% (15)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
47.6% (126)
-1.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Brassard
Stajan
Home
53.7% (616)
52.4% (401)
Away
46.1% (609)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Brassard
Stajan
P1
47.2%
56.3%
P2
50.9%
45.5%
P3
51.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |