Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.5%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Richards 49.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 74.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 74.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 53.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Brassard
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Richards
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Brassard
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Brassard
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
49.7% (352)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
42.9% (7)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
49.1% (116)
-6.2%
On power play, Brassard has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Brassard shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Brassard
Richards
Home
50.9% (666)
49.4% (247)
Away
49.6% (680)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Brassard
Richards
P1
53.3%
53.8%
P2
47.5%
47.7%
P3
49.9%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mike Richards |