Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Koivu 54.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 30-28 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 70.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Brassard
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
28
(58 meetings)
30
28
Brassard
Koivu
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
15
6
Brassard
Koivu
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
13
Brassard
Koivu
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Brassard
Koivu
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
54.0% (9,465)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
48.9% (1,688)
+1.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Brassard
Koivu
Home
50.6% (5,020)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Brassard
Koivu
P1
49.0%
53.5%
P2
49.8%
54.6%
P3
48.4%
54.0%
OT
51.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |