Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Koivu 52.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 67.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 91.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 88.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Brassard
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Brassard
Koivu
Last 7: Brassard 6-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
0
Brassard
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Brassard
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
51.7% (842)
-6.5%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
55.2% (248)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
55.6% (178)
+0.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Home / Away
Brassard
Koivu
Home
47.9% (447)
54.1% (621)
Away
45.4% (441)
51.6% (672)
By Period
Brassard
Koivu
P1
48.7%
52.0%
P2
44.3%
55.5%
P3
47.2%
51.2%
OT
36.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2010 | OT | 04:43 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |