Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Spaling 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 66.0%
Defensive zone
Spaling 80.5%
Neutral zone
Spaling 62.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Brassard
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Brassard
Spaling
Last 8: Brassard 5-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
2
Brassard
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
52.5% (461)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
66.7% (9)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
46.6% (131)
-3.7%
On power play, Spaling has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Brassard shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Brassard
Spaling
Home
50.9% (666)
57.2% (297)
Away
49.6% (680)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Brassard
Spaling
P1
53.3%
54.2%
P2
47.5%
46.6%
P3
49.9%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |