Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Elias 42.0% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 87.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 63.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 83.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Brassard
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
Elias
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
40.2% (562)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
49.3% (71)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
34.1% (44)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Brassard shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Brassard
Elias
Home
47.5% (459)
39.9% (318)
Away
48.5% (518)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Brassard
Elias
P1
48.0%
42.0%
P2
50.1%
38.6%
P3
44.9%
41.1%
OT
57.1%
45.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |