Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Elias 40.5% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 96.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 72.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 84.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Brassard
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Brassard
Elias
Last 10: Brassard 9-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
1
Brassard
Elias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
3
Brassard
Elias
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
39.3% (550)
+9.2%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
50.0% (60)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
27.0% (63)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Brassard
Elias
Home
51.7% (689)
39.1% (335)
Away
45.9% (687)
39.1% (338)
By Period
Brassard
Elias
P1
48.1%
39.0%
P2
51.8%
35.4%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
OT
52.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |