Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Faksa 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 64.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 78.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 52.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Brassard
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brassard
Faksa
Last 5: Brassard 2-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
Brassard
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
49.0% (610)
+6.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
58.4% (77)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
48.8% (123)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Brassard is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Brassard shoots left. Faksa is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Home / Away
Brassard
Faksa
Home
52.3% (174)
51.3% (390)
Away
57.9% (183)
48.6% (420)
By Period
Brassard
Faksa
P1
47.1%
50.4%
P2
60.6%
49.4%
P3
57.4%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |