Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 72.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 64.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 64.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Brassard
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Brassard
Getzlaf
Last 7: Brassard 1-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Brassard
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
4
Brassard
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
50.6% (1,060)
-2.1%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
48.3% (118)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
54.9% (71)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Brassard shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Brassard
Getzlaf
Home
51.7% (689)
51.9% (622)
Away
45.9% (687)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Brassard
Getzlaf
P1
48.1%
49.4%
P2
51.8%
53.1%
P3
45.9%
50.5%
OT
52.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |