Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Kesler 57.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 88.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 85.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 85.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Brassard
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Brassard
Kesler
Last 9: Brassard 1-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Brassard
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Brassard
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
57.3% (1,022)
-12.1%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
61.5% (200)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
54.9% (257)
+0.7%
On even strength, Kesler has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Brassard is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Brassard shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kesler
Home
47.9% (447)
58.6% (766)
Away
45.4% (441)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Brassard
Kesler
P1
48.7%
58.9%
P2
44.3%
56.8%
P3
47.2%
57.5%
OT
36.4%
31.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |