Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Brassard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Kesler 56.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 86.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 78.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 82.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Brassard
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Brassard
Kesler
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Brassard
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
5
Brassard
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Brassard
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
57.4% (1,185)
-8.9%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
58.0% (243)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
49.2% (236)
+2.3%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Brassard shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kesler
Home
51.7% (689)
58.5% (793)
Away
45.9% (687)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Brassard
Kesler
P1
48.1%
57.0%
P2
51.8%
55.4%
P3
45.9%
56.7%
OT
52.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |