Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Kesler 57.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 91.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 80.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 83.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Brassard
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Brassard
Kesler
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Brassard
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Brassard
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Brassard
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
57.6% (1,225)
-7.9%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
63.5% (263)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
51.5% (305)
-5.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Brassard is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Brassard shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kesler
Home
53.7% (616)
59.1% (881)
Away
46.1% (609)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Brassard
Kesler
P1
47.2%
56.6%
P2
50.9%
58.2%
P3
51.5%
57.5%
OT
70.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |