Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Smyth 45.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 60.7%
Defensive zone
Smyth 58.3%
Neutral zone
Smyth 61.8%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Brassard
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Brassard
Smyth
Last 8: Brassard 2-6 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
2
Brassard
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
4
Brassard
Smyth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
45.2% (456)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.8% (164)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
23.3% (43)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Brassard
Smyth
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.7% (340)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Brassard
Smyth
P1
49.0%
48.3%
P2
49.8%
41.7%
P3
48.4%
46.5%
OT
51.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |