Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.5% vs Smyth 45.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 57.2%
Defensive zone
Smyth 55.3%
Neutral zone
Smyth 57.2%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Brassard
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brassard
Smyth
Last 7: Brassard 2-5 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
2
Brassard
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
3
Brassard
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (392)
43.2% (155)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
50.0% (28)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
31.6% (19)
-4.3%
On even strength, Brassard has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Brassard is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Brassard shoots left. Smyth is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Brassard
Smyth
Home
49.7% (193)
42.2% (102)
Away
47.0% (253)
44.0% (100)
By Period
Brassard
Smyth
P1
46.9%
50.8%
P2
52.1%
41.3%
P3
46.5%
39.0%
OT
14.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |