Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Strome 47.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 50.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 56.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Brassard
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brassard
Strome
Last 5: Brassard 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Brassard
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
46.2% (234)
+2.3%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
60.0% (40)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
37.8% (45)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Brassard shoots left. Strome is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Brassard
Strome
Home
51.7% (689)
49.6% (137)
Away
45.9% (687)
44.5% (182)
By Period
Brassard
Strome
P1
48.1%
56.8%
P2
51.8%
43.5%
P3
45.9%
42.6%
OT
52.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |