Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Bennett 53.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 55.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 66.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 61.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Brassard
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brassard
Bennett
Last 5: Brassard 2-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Brassard
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Brassard
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
53.1% (177)
-4.1%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
56.0% (25)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
64.7% (17)
+2.0%
On power play, Bennett has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Brassard is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Brassard shoots left. Bennett is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bennett
Home
50.5% (543)
55.1% (118)
Away
47.7% (507)
53.5% (101)
By Period
Brassard
Bennett
P1
48.8%
43.6%
P2
49.0%
62.3%
P3
49.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |