Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Nichol 56.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 54.9%
Defensive zone
Nichol 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nichol 73.8%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Brassard
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brassard
Nichol
Last 5: Brassard 3-2 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Brassard
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
58.0% (371)
-12.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
25.0% (4)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
57.3% (75)
-7.3%
On power play, Brassard has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Brassard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Brassard shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nichol
Home
45.4% (284)
58.6% (215)
Away
44.7% (333)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Brassard
Nichol
P1
51.2%
56.1%
P2
40.3%
58.4%
P3
43.2%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |