Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Horcoff 48.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 74.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 54.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 60.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Brassard
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Brassard
Horcoff
Last 9: Brassard 3-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
4
Brassard
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
51.8% (581)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
43.2% (125)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
38.1% (84)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
Brassard
Horcoff
Home
47.9% (447)
49.2% (384)
Away
45.4% (441)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Brassard
Horcoff
P1
48.7%
45.8%
P2
44.3%
48.4%
P3
47.2%
51.0%
OT
36.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |