Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Zajac 50.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 80.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 52.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 64.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Brassard
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brassard
Zajac
Last 7: Brassard 2-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Brassard
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
50.8% (775)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
61.5% (117)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
45.0% (202)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Brassard shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Brassard
Zajac
Home
50.5% (543)
52.2% (536)
Away
47.7% (507)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Brassard
Zajac
P1
48.8%
53.6%
P2
49.0%
50.9%
P3
49.6%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |