Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 52.1% vs Rask 46.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 59.9%
Defensive zone
Rask 58.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 57.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Brassard
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Brassard
Rask
Last 9: Brassard 3-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Brassard
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
5
Brassard
Rask
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (368)
45.5% (442)
+7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
44.7% (38)
+5.3%
On even strength, Brassard has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Brassard shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Brassard
Rask
Home
52.6% (247)
45.6% (228)
Away
52.7% (188)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Brassard
Rask
P1
52.5%
45.1%
P2
56.6%
45.5%
P3
49.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Victor Rask |