Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Shore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Shore 50.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 78.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 71.7%
Neutral zone
Shore 51.9%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Grant
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Shore
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
3
Grant
Shore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Shore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Shore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
50.3% (167)
+6.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
66.7% (3)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
60.0% (5)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Shore has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Shore is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Grant
Shore
Home
60.3% (257)
56.0% (91)
Away
49.6% (236)
45.2% (84)
By Period
Grant
Shore
P1
54.7%
44.9%
P2
54.0%
54.9%
P3
57.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Derek Grant |