Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Shore wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.0% vs Toews 56.0% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 80.3%
Defensive zone
Shore 77.7%
Neutral zone
Shore 79.1%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Shore
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Shore
Toews
Last 10: Shore 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Shore
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Shore
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
4
Shore
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (170)
56.5% (1,310)
-16.5%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
59.7% (325)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
51.0% (245)
-4.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Shore is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Shore shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Shore
Toews
Home
38.0% (121)
56.6% (927)
Away
45.5% (88)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Shore
Toews
P1
47.9%
56.3%
P2
33.8%
55.8%
P3
40.6%
57.3%
OT
100.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
41.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |